4 Aug 2012 20:18
Re: community interest in machine learning (?)
Jim - FooBar(); <jimpil1985 <at> gmail.com>
2012-08-04 18:18:59 GMT
2012-08-04 18:18:59 GMT
poooo this is very strange...i'll
update clojars within the next hour...sorry about this!
Jim
On 04/08/12 18:52, Timothy Washington wrote:
Jim
On 04/08/12 18:52, Timothy Washington wrote:
Hey Jim,So I started playing around with clojure-encog, and I'm pretty excited about it so far. Again, I'm trying to make a financial series predictor. And I'm trying to go through the steps of 1) nomalizing / preparing the data 2) creating a feed-forward neural network with back-prop (I'll try sigmoid & gaussian activations). Then I'll 3) train and 4) run the network.A) The first problem I'm having is a library one. I'm trying to normalize the data with the (prepare ...) function, but the normalization namespace isn't in [clojure-encog "0.4.0-SNAPSHOT"]. Here, we see that the nnets and training namespaces are in the snapshot jar, but not the normalization namespace. So I don't know how easy it is to update the snapshot jar. But in the meantime, I'll see if I can use the github version.webkell <at> ubuntu:~/Projects/nn$ jar tvf lib/clojure-encog-0.4.0-20120518.170223-1.jar72 Fri May 18 17:58:04 PDT 2012 META-INF/MANIFEST.MF1961 Fri May 18 17:58:04 PDT 2012 META-INF/maven/clojure-encog/clojure-encog/pom.xml111 Fri May 18 17:58:04 PDT 2012 META-INF/maven/clojure-encog/clojure-encog/pom.properties584 Fri May 18 17:00:30 PDT 2012 project.clj9839 Fri May 18 17:01:38 PDT 2012 clojure_encog/nnets.clj11532 Fri May 18 17:57:20 PDT 2012 clojure_encog/examples.clj10144 Fri May 18 17:43:58 PDT 2012 clojure_encog/training.clj2177 Mon May 14 21:57:20 PDT 2012 java/NeuralPilot.java7574 Wed May 16 20:34:30 PDT 2012 java/PredictSunspotSVM.java2338 Mon May 14 21:56:42 PDT 2012 java/LanderSimulator.java1794 Fri May 18 16:02:22 PDT 2012 java/XORNEAT.java1672 Fri May 18 16:04:14 PDT 2012 java/XORNEAT.class1872 Mon May 14 14:53:26 PDT 2012 java/LanderSimulator.class1943 Mon May 14 14:53:26 PDT 2012 java/NeuralPilot.class7357 Wed May 16 20:37:20 PDT 2012 java/PredictSunspotSVM.classB) The second problem I see is when trying to deal with the input data. The example in clojure-encog, has just an array of doubles. But my input data is slightly different in that I'm dealing with a LazySeq of arrays. Each of those arrays contain tick data, Time, Ask, Bid, AskVolume and BidVolume:(["01.05.2012 20:00:00.676" "1.32390" "1.32379" "3000000.00" "2250000.00"]["01.05.2012 20:00:00.888" "1.32390" "1.33238" "3000000.10" "2200000.00"]...)So of course a call to ((make-data ...) , fails with the error "clojure.lang.LazySeq cannot be cast to [Double..". So I need to figure out 1) a way to get each one of those input data points , into an input-layer neuron. I've started to think about that when I was dabbling with code. If you like, I can look into trying to jerry-rig these kinds of tick data mappings into ( training/make-data ). But I need a better understanding of the concept of a Temporalwindow. The other thing is 2) to figure out how to transform the time field into data the nn can use. I've been spitting the Datetime object out to longs.--ThanksTim Washington416.843.9060On Sun, Jul 29, 2012 at 11:35 AM, Dimitrios Jim Piliouras <jimpil1985 <at> gmail.com> wrote:
Hi Tim,
According to :
http://www.heatonresearch.com/content/encog-30-article-2-design-goals-overview
encog 3 should have descent support for any temporal (time-series) based prediction support in particular for financial predictions...I'm afraid however that the only example that I've ported to clojure-encog which uses temporal data is the sunspot example (SVM not NN).
Also, you shouldn't have any problems with the data (most likely you need to normalize them - I usually find (-1 1) or (0 1) to work best.
for an example of how exactly you would do it look for "PREDICT-SUNSPOT-SVM" here:
https://github.com/jimpil/clojure-encog/blob/master/src/clojure_encog/examples.clj
these 2 lines do all the job with regards to your input data:
normalizedSunspots (prepare :array-range nil nil :raw-seq spots :ceiling 0.9 :floor 0.1)train-set ((make-data :temporal-window normalizedSunspots) window-size 1)
As far as algorimthmic problems go encog has been around for quite a while...even though I don't necessarily agree with all the design decisions made along the way I find it is a rather mature lib...of course it is written in Java so being large means it is a bit of a mess! also there is a lot of duplication in random places...anyways, what I'm trying to say is:
if you've got a specific example in mind, (like the financial prediction) maybe it's worth trying it out using clojure-encog or the encog-workbench (the gui) or any other already-made lib and see how it goes...writing your own will certainly teach you loads but it might take a while until you actually test what you want to test...
Normalisation, randomisation or both are almost always needed...
Hope that helps...
Jim
On Sun, Jul 29, 2012 at 5:41 PM, Timothy Washington <twashing <at> gmail.com> wrote:
Hey Ben,It's the same problem.user> (incanter/exp (incanter/minus 3254604.9658621363))0.0But it's not the functions. It's the math. Euler's number 2.71828... raised to the power of 3254604.9658621363, gives Infinity. So for my neural net's activation func, either i) I shouldn't used a sigmoid, or ii) my linear combiner needs to keep values within a certain bound. My neuron inputs are below. And it's the bid and sk volumes and the long time value that's giving me such a large number.
- 1.3239 (bid price)
- 1.32379 (ask price)
- 3000000.0 (bid volume)
- 2250000.0 (ask volume)
- 1335902400676 ( #<DateTime 2012-05-01T20:00:00.676Z> long value)
I just had the idea to try a Gaussian or tanh activation function. I think this is the point where I'll give clojure-encog a whirl. I have a feeling I'll be running into a lot of these data and other algorithmic problems. And it'd be good to work with something that has already dealt with these issues. I still don't know if I need to normalize my input data, how to untangle the activation result for back propagation, etc. Any insights are welcome.
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